MMG Weekly

Forecast for the Week 

After last week’s packed economic calendar culminating with Friday’s mixed Jobs Report, this week’s calendar is light.

  • Look for the ISM Services Index on Tuesday.
  • Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be reported as usual on Thursday. Last week’s reading showed that initial claims jumped 38,000 to 368,000 in the latest week.
  • Also on Thursday, Q4 2012 Productivity will be released

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond that home loan rates are based on.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving — and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further — a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Bonds attempted to stabilize last week. I’ll continue to watch the markets closely.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday February 01, 2013)

Japanese Candlestick Chart
The Mortgage Market Guide View… 

Monitor the Flu Online

Flu season is here…and the cost of the season is nothing to sneeze at! In fact, Americans spend approximately $4 billion on over-the-counter cold and flu remedies. That doesn’t even factor in how much time and productivity is lost on sick-time in the workplace or co-pays for doctor visits and prescriptions.

But with the two websites below, you can stay up to date on the latest flu information in your area and even add your data to help others.

View Flu Activity:

You don’t have to wonder if the flu is prevalent in your state or search for long complicated reports. Each week, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) produces a Flu Activity Map. The map displays the level of flu activity across the United States and is based on data reported from state epidemiologists. The map also allows you to view previous weeks, so you can compare the spread of flu activity over time.

Contribute Your Data:

On the “Flu Near You” website, you can complete a brief weekly survey that may help all of us learn more about the flu. When a case is reported, the map registers a “pin” in the map – and you can even click on that pin to learn more about the symptoms or severity of the case! The site is completely free to use. And the information on the site will be available to public health officials, researchers, disaster planning organizations and anyone else who may find this information useful.

So if you’re concerned about being sidelined by the flu, take a few minutes to check out the websites above. You may even want to consider passing the information on to your friends, family members, or even your clients.

Economic Calendar for the Week of February 04 – February 08 

Economic Report
Tue. February 05
ISM Services Index
Thu. February 07
Jobless Claims (Initial)
Thu. February 07

The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

Mortgage Market Guide, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated. Mortgage Market Guide, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email. You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose.

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