Forecast for the Week
Key housing, manufacturing and inflation reports are ahead. Plus, the Fed meeting could cause even more volatility.
- Look for news from the manufacturing sector with the Empire State Index on Monday and the Philadelphia Fed Index on Thursday.
- The NAHB Housing Market Index will be released on Monday, followed by Housing Starts and Building Permits on Tuesday.
- Thursday brings key inflation news via the Consumer Price Index, as well as Weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.
When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving—and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.
To go one step further—a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.
As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds have halted their plunge in recent days. I’ll be watching closely to see if this trend continues.
Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday June 12, 2015)


Staying Organized With Apps!
Getting organized, setting goals and staying focused can make all the difference in your daily productivity. These three apps can help!
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Mailbox helps users organize emails by performing different “swipes” to archive, delete or snooze mail for later handling so you can focus on your immediate priorities. There’s even an auto-swipe feature that automates these classifications based on your past swipes. Free for iOS and Android.
Cortana for Windows phones is a personal assistant that performs voice-activated searches, just like iPhone’s Siri. It can access personal usage data and emails to provide alerts and reminders automatically. Free for Windows.
Source: Forbes
Economic Calendar for the Week of June 15 – June 19
Date
|
ET
|
Economic Report
|
For
|
Estimate
|
Actual
|
Prior
|
Impact
|
Mon. June 15 |
08:30
|
Empire State Index |
Jun
|
NA
|
3.1
|
Moderate
|
|
Mon. June 15 |
10:00
|
Housing Market Index |
Jun
|
NA
|
54
|
Moderate
|
|
Tue. June 16 |
08:30
|
Housing Starts |
May
|
NA
|
1135K
|
Moderate
|
|
Tue. June 16 |
08:30
|
Building Permits |
May
|
NA
|
1143K
|
Moderate
|
|
Wed. June 17 |
02:00
|
FOMC Meeting |
Jun
|
NA
|
0.25%
|
HIGH
|
|
Thu. June 18 |
08:30
|
Jobless Claims (Initial) |
6/13
|
NA
|
279K
|
Moderate
|
|
Thu. June 18 |
08:30
|
Consumer Price Index (CPI) |
May
|
NA
|
0.1%
|
HIGH
|
|
Thu. June 18 |
08:30
|
Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) |
May
|
NA
|
0.3%
|
HIGH
|
|
Thu. June 18 |
10:00
|
Philadelphia Fed Index |
Jun
|
NA
|
6.7
|
HIGH
|
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